Tropical Depression Nine Could Become Major Hurricane Threat for Florida
Disaster Alert
September 23, 2022
Source: The Weather Channel
***Please note, Topical Depression Nine has not been declared a FEMA disaster at this time.***
Tropical Depression Nine is tracking through the Caribbean Sea and may become a serious hurricane threat for the northwestern Caribbean and Southeast U.S. next week, including Florida.
We are still in the very early stage of tracking this latest system. There are aspects of the forecast in which we have more confidence, while others remain uncertain, which is typical for tropical forecasting this far out in time.
Here’s a look at everything we know right now.
Latest Status
Tropical Depression Nine is located in the central Caribbean Sea and is moving west-northwest.
It’s still battling wind shear, but finally became organized enough to be deemed a tropical depression on Friday morning.
Heavy rain is the main threat from this system right now in Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao. Flash flooding and mudslides are possible in these areas.
Forecast Track, Intensity
The system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight.
It would be named either Hermine or Ian depending on if it or another system in the far eastern Atlantic becomes a tropical storm first.
This future tropical storm is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to become a hurricane in the northwest Caribbean by late this weekend or early next week. Rapid intensification is possible during that time, which means a wind speed increase of at least 35 mph in 24 hours or less.
It could then be located anywhere from the eastern Gulf of Mexico to near the Florida Peninsula as a major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger) by next Tuesday or Wednesday.
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