Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Fourth Quarter of 2023
Industry Update
February 8, 2024
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.88 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the fourth quarter of 2023, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey.
The delinquency rate was up 26 basis points from the third quarter of 2023 but down 8 basis points from one year ago. The historical average for the seasonally adjusted mortgage delinquency rate from 1979 through 2023 is 5.25 percent. Of particular note, FHA delinquencies were up 131 basis points.
The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started in the fourth quarter remained unchanged at 0.14 percent.
“Mortgage delinquencies increased across all product types for the second consecutive quarter,” said Marina Walsh, CMB, MBA’s Vice President of Industry Analysis. “While the overall delinquency rate is still very low compared to the historical average, the pace of new loans entering delinquency picked up and some loans moved into later stages of delinquency. The resumption of student loan payments, robust personal spending, and rising balances on credit cards and other forms of consumer debt, paired with declining savings rates, are likely behind some borrowers falling behind at the end of 2023.”
Added Walsh, “The labor market is still quite resilient with the unemployment rate – strongly correlated with mortgage performance – remaining at 3.7 percent in January. Any weakening in employment conditions would likely lead to more borrowers falling behind on their payments in the coming quarters.”
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